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    • 2. 发明授权
    • Apparatus and method for simulating an analytic value chain
    • 用于模拟分析价值链的装置和方法
    • US07774272B2
    • 2010-08-10
    • US12143453
    • 2008-06-20
    • Gerald FahnerJoseph P. Milana
    • Gerald FahnerJoseph P. Milana
    • G06Q40/00
    • G06Q10/00G06Q20/10G06Q40/00G06Q40/025
    • A computer-implemented simulator models the entire analytic value chain so that data generation, model fitting and strategy optimization are an integral part of the simulation. Data collection efforts, data mining algorithms, predictive modeling technologies and strategy development methodologies define the analytic value chain of a business operation: data→models→strategies→profit. Inputs to the simulator include consumer data and potential actions to be taken regarding a consumer or account. The invention maps what is known about a consumer or an account and the potential actions that the business can take on that consumer or account to potential future financial performance. After iteratively performing simulations using varying inputs, modeling the effect of the innovation on a profit model, the simulator outputs a prediction of the commercial value of an analytic innovation.
    • 计算机实现的模拟器建模整个分析价值链,使数据生成,模型拟合和策略优化成为模拟的重要组成部分。 数据收集工作,数据挖掘算法,预测建模技术和策略开发方法定义了业务运营的分析价值链:数据→模型→策略→利润。 对模拟器的输入包括消费者数据和对消费者或帐户采取的潜在行动。 本发明将已知的消费者或帐户以及企业可能对该消费者或帐户采取的潜在行动映射到潜在的未来财务业绩。 在使用不同的输入迭代地执行模拟之后,对创新对利润模型的影响进行建模,模拟器输出了分析创新的商业价值的预测。
    • 5. 发明申请
    • APPARATUS AND METHOD FOR SIMULATING AN ANALYTIC VALUE CHAIN
    • 用于模拟分析价值链的装置和方法
    • US20080313073A1
    • 2008-12-18
    • US12143428
    • 2008-06-20
    • Gerald FahnerJoseph P. Milana
    • Gerald FahnerJoseph P. Milana
    • G06Q40/00
    • G06Q10/00G06Q20/10G06Q40/00G06Q40/025
    • A computer-implemented simulator models the entire analytic value chain so that data generation, model fitting and strategy optimization are an integral part of the simulation. Data collection efforts, data mining algorithms, predictive modeling technologies and strategy development methodologies define the analytic value chain of a business operation: data→models→strategies→profit. Inputs to the simulator include consumer data and potential actions to be taken regarding a consumer or account. The invention maps what is known about a consumer or an account and the potential actions that the business can take on that consumer or account to potential future financial performance. After iteratively performing simulations using varying inputs, modeling the effect of the innovation on a profit model, the simulator outputs a prediction of the commercial value of an analytic innovation.
    • 计算机实现的模拟器建模整个分析价值链,使数据生成,模型拟合和策略优化成为模拟的重要组成部分。 数据收集工作,数据挖掘算法,预测建模技术和策略开发方法定义了业务运营的分析价值链:数据 - 模型 - 策略 - 利润。 对模拟器的输入包括消费者数据和对消费者或帐户采取的潜在行动。 本发明将已知的消费者或帐户以及企业可能对该消费者或帐户采取的潜在行动映射到潜在的未来财务业绩。 在使用不同的输入迭代地执行模拟之后,对创新对利润模型的影响进行建模,模拟器输出了分析创新的商业价值的预测。
    • 9. 发明申请
    • APPARATUS AND METHOD FOR SIMULATING AN ANALYTIC VALUE CHAIN
    • 用于模拟分析价值链的装置和方法
    • US20070067195A1
    • 2007-03-22
    • US11463245
    • 2006-08-08
    • Gerald FahnerJoseph Milana
    • Gerald FahnerJoseph Milana
    • G06F17/30
    • G06Q10/00G06Q20/10G06Q40/00G06Q40/025
    • A computer-implemented simulator models the entire analytic value chain so that data generation, model fitting and strategy optimization are an integral part of the simulation. Data collection efforts, data mining algorithms, predictive modeling technologies and strategy development methodologies define the analytic value chain of a business operation: data→models→strategies→profit. Inputs to the simulator include consumer data and potential actions to be taken regarding a consumer or account. The invention maps what is known about a consumer or an account and the potential actions that the business can take on that consumer or account to potential future financial performance. After iteratively performing simulations using varying inputs, modeling the effect of the innovation on a profit model, the simulator outputs a prediction of the commercial value of an analytic innovation.
    • 计算机实现的模拟器建模整个分析价值链,使数据生成,模型拟合和策略优化成为模拟的重要组成部分。 数据收集工作,数据挖掘算法,预测建模技术和策略开发方法定义了业务运营的分析价值链:数据 - 模型 - 策略 - 利润。 对模拟器的输入包括消费者数据和对消费者或帐户采取的潜在行动。 本发明将已知的消费者或帐户以及企业可能对该消费者或帐户采取的潜在行动映射到潜在的未来财务业绩。 在使用不同的输入迭代地执行模拟之后,对创新对利润模型的影响进行建模,模拟器输出了分析创新的商业价值的预测。
    • 10. 发明授权
    • Causal modeling for estimating outcomes associated with decision alternatives
    • 用于估计与决策替代方案相关的结果的因果模型
    • US08682762B2
    • 2014-03-25
    • US12958368
    • 2010-12-01
    • Gerald Fahner
    • Gerald Fahner
    • G06Q40/00
    • G06Q40/02
    • A method and system for estimating potential future outcomes resulting from decision alternatives is presented to enable lenders to make lending related decisions. The estimation is based on a propensity score variable that encompasses an effect of multiple covariates associated with one or more individuals for whom the estimation is being performed. For consistency with empirical testing, the estimation approach assumes conditions of unconfoundedness and localized common support. According to the unconfoundedness assumption, for a given variable, the potential outcomes are conditionally independent of the decision alternatives. According to the localized common support assumption, an overlap is ensured between individual accounts that are categorized together as potentially having the same future outcome. The outcomes and an effect (e.g. comparison) of the outcomes may be displayed graphically.
    • 提出了一种用于估计由决策替代产生的潜在未来结果的方法和系统,以使贷款人能够作出借贷相关决定。 估计是基于倾向评分变量,其包含与正在执行估计的一个或多个个体相关联的多个协变量的影响。 为了与经验测试的一致性,估计方法假定无约束条件和局部共同支持。 根据无约束的假设,对于给定的变量,潜在的结果有条件地独立于决策替代方案。 根据本地化的共同支持假设,确保分类在一起的个人账户之间的重叠可能具有相同的未来结果。 结果的结果和结果(例如比较)可以图形显示。