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1. 发明申请

US20090254475A1 PREDICTION MARKET MAKING METHOD AND APPARATUS 审中-公开
标题翻译：预测市场制作方法和装置
公开(公告)号：US20090254475A1
公开(公告)日：2009-10-08
申请号：US12061062
申请日：2008-04-02
申请人： David Pennock , Yiling Chen , Sharad Chandra Goel
发明人： David Pennock , Yiling Chen , Sharad Chandra Goel
IPC分类号： G06Q30/00 , G06Q20/00
CPC分类号： G06Q30/02 , G06Q20/10
摘要： Generally, a method and apparatus for making a prediction-based market including unconventional prediction options to market participants includes determining a prediction framework that includes a plurality of conditional scenarios. The method and apparatus includes calculating realization odds for each of the conditional scenarios using an approximation calculation technique and via an interface, receiving a plurality of predictions associated with selected conditional scenarios, each prediction having an associated value and building the prediction-based market using the predictor. The method and apparatus further includes updating realization odds for each of the conditional scenarios in the prediction framework using the approximation calculation technique and settling the predictions based at least on the updated realization odds.
摘要翻译：通常，用于制作包括市场参与者的非常规预测选项的基于预测的市场的方法和装置包括确定包括多个条件情景的预测框架。所述方法和装置包括使用近似计算技术来计算每个条件情景的实现可能性，并且经由接口，接收与所选条件情景相关联的多个预测，每个预测具有相关联的值并且使用预测因子所述方法和装置还包括使用近似计算技术来更新预测框架中的每个条件情景的实现可能性，并且至少基于更新的实现可能性来确定预测。

2. 发明申请

US20050171878A1 Dynamic pari-mutuel market 有权
标题翻译：动态市场
公开(公告)号：US20050171878A1
公开(公告)日：2005-08-04
申请号：US10770590
申请日：2004-02-03
申请人： David Pennock
发明人： David Pennock
IPC分类号： G06Q40/00 , G06F17/60
CPC分类号： G06Q40/04 , G06Q40/00
摘要： The present invention provides a method of speculating on a future event or the value of an asset in a market. The speculating may take the form of trading, hedging or wagering. A plurality of speculations on the outcome of the future event is received. For each one of the speculations in the market, the status of the speculations at the time that the speculation was received in the market is recorded. After a time period for receiving speculations in the market has closed, the pari-mutuel payoff for each correct speculation is calculated using a computer. The pari-mutuel payoff depends at least in part on the status of speculations at the time that the speculation was received in the market.
摘要翻译：本发明提供了一种在市场上推测未来事件或资产价值的方法。投机可能采取交易，对冲或下注的形式。收到关于未来事件的结果的多种猜测。对于市场中的每一个猜测，记录在市场上收到投机的投机情况。在接受市场猜测的时间段已经关闭之后，每个正确投机的平价收益都是用计算机计算的。至于部分原因在于在市场上收到投机的投机情况，至少部分取决于竞争对手的收益。

3. 发明申请

US20050021461A1 Term-based concept market 审中-公开
标题翻译：基于期限的概念市场
公开(公告)号：US20050021461A1
公开(公告)日：2005-01-27
申请号：US10625082
申请日：2003-07-22
申请人： Gary Flake , David Pennock
发明人： Gary Flake , David Pennock
IPC分类号： G06Q30/00 , G06F17/60
CPC分类号： G06Q30/06 , G06Q20/102
摘要： The present invention provides methods and systems for allowing transactions in instruments relating to term-based concepts in a networked computer system. Concepts may be defined as a set of terms, such as words or phrases, that relate to a theme. The terms are useable in computerized searches. The set of terms may be determined manually, using a computer algorithm, or both. Concepts are valued, such as by a measure of advertising value. Instruments include concept futures as well as bets. Concept-based instruments can be used, for example, as hedging tools, speculating tools, market forecasting tools, or data generating tools.
摘要翻译：本发明提供用于允许在联网计算机系统中与基于术语的概念相关的仪器中的交易的方法和系统。概念可以被定义为与主题相关的一组术语，例如单词或短语。这些术语可用于计算机化搜索。可以使用计算机算法或两者来手动确定术语集合。概念是重要的，例如通过衡量广告价值。仪器包括概念期货以及下注。可以使用基于概念的仪器，例如对冲工具，投机工具，市场预测工具或数据生成工具。

4. 发明申请

US20050021441A1 Concept valuation in a term-based concept market 审中-公开
标题翻译：基于术语的概念市场的概念估值
公开(公告)号：US20050021441A1
公开(公告)日：2005-01-27
申请号：US10625000
申请日：2003-07-22
申请人： Gary Flake , David Pennock
发明人： Gary Flake , David Pennock
IPC分类号： G06F20060101 , G06Q40/00 , G06F17/60
CPC分类号： G06Q40/04
摘要： The present invention provides methods and systems for allowing transactions in instruments relating to term-based concepts in a networked computer system. Concepts may be defined as a set of terms, such as words or phrases, that relate to a theme. The terms are useable in computerized searches. The set of terms may be determined manually, using a computer algorithm, or both. Concepts are valued, such as by a measure of advertising value. Instruments include concept futures as well as bets. Concept-based instruments can be used, for example, as hedging tools, speculating tools, market forecasting tools, or data generating tools.
摘要翻译：本发明提供用于允许在联网计算机系统中与基于术语的概念相关的仪器中的交易的方法和系统。概念可以被定义为与主题相关的一组术语，例如单词或短语。这些术语可用于计算机化搜索。可以使用计算机算法或两者来手动确定术语集合。概念是重要的，例如通过衡量广告价值。仪器包括概念期货以及下注。可以使用基于概念的仪器，例如对冲工具，投机工具，市场预测工具或数据生成工具。

5. 发明申请

US20050021442A1 Term-based concept instruments 审中-公开
标题翻译：基于期限的概念工具
公开(公告)号：US20050021442A1
公开(公告)日：2005-01-27
申请号：US10625001
申请日：2003-07-22
申请人： Gary Flake , David Pennock
发明人： Gary Flake , David Pennock
IPC分类号： G06Q10/00 , G06Q30/00 , G06F17/60
CPC分类号： G06Q10/10 , G06Q30/02 , G06Q40/04
摘要： The present invention provides methods and systems for allowing transactions in instruments relating to term-based concepts in a networked computer system. Concepts may be defined as a set of terms, such as words or phrases, that relate to a theme. The terms are useable in computerized searches. The set of terms may be determined manually, using a computer algorithm, or both. Concepts are valued, such as by a measure of advertising value. Instruments include concept futures as well as bets. Concept-based instruments can be used, for example, as hedging tools, speculating tools, market forecasting tools, or data generating tools.
摘要翻译：本发明提供用于允许在联网计算机系统中与基于术语的概念相关的仪器中的交易的方法和系统。概念可以被定义为与主题相关的一组术语，例如单词或短语。这些术语可用于计算机化搜索。可以使用计算机算法或两者来手动确定术语集合。概念是重要的，例如通过衡量广告价值。仪器包括概念期货以及下注。可以使用基于概念的仪器，例如对冲工具，投机工具，市场预测工具或数据生成工具。

6. 发明申请

US20090198613A1 Method and apparatus for group decision making 审中-公开
标题翻译：组决策的方法和装置
公开(公告)号：US20090198613A1
公开(公告)日：2009-08-06
申请号：US12023881
申请日：2008-01-31
申请人： Daniel Reeves , David Pennock
发明人： Daniel Reeves , David Pennock
IPC分类号： G06Q20/00
CPC分类号： G06Q10/10 , G06Q20/10
摘要： A method and apparatus are provided for group decision making. In one example, the method includes receiving bids from group members on choices, calculating a choice winner based on the bids, calculating a pot based on the bids, redistributing the pot based on the bids, and displaying results to the group members.
摘要翻译：提供了一种用于组决策的方法和装置。在一个示例中，该方法包括从群组成员接收出价，基于出价计算选择胜者，基于出价计算花盆，基于出价重新分配花盆，以及向群组成员显示结果。

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