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    • 2. 发明申请
    • System and method of making markets for a finite subset of orders placed across continuous and countably infinite outcome spaces
    • 使秩序有限的市场的制度和方法跨越连续无限的结果空间
    • US20090024510A1
    • 2009-01-22
    • US11879940
    • 2007-07-18
    • Yiling ChenDavid Myer Pennock
    • Yiling ChenDavid Myer Pennock
    • G06Q40/00G06Q99/00
    • G06Q40/04G06Q30/0283
    • An improved system and method is provided for making markets for a finite subset of orders across continuous and countably infinite outcome spaces. To do so, a prediction market engine may be provided to support prediction markets by aggregating information about orders specifying a continuous subspace of a continuous outcome space and orders specifying a subset of a countably infinite set of outcomes. The pricing and/or quantities for orders received may be determined, a response may be sent to traders indicating the pricing or quantities of orders for payment, and the amount owed for accepted orders may be collected. Winning accepted orders may be identified and payout may be made for winning accepted orders. Advantageously, the present invention may support aggregation of more information from market participants in a prediction market to forecast the likelihood of the occurrence of a certain event.
    • 提供了一种改进的系统和方法,用于在连续且可数无限的结果空间中为有限的订单子集制定市场。 为此,可以提供预测市场引擎以通过聚合关于指定连续结果空间的连续子空间的订单的信息以及指定可数无限的结果集的子集的顺序来支持预测市场。 可以确定收到的订单的定价和/或数量,可以向交易者发送表示订单付款的定价或数量的回复,并且可以收取所接受订单的金额。 可以确定获胜的接受的订单,并且可以支付获胜的接受的订单。 有利地,本发明可以支持来自预测市场中的市场参与者的更多信息的聚合,以预测特定事件的发生的可能性。
    • 3. 发明申请
    • PREDICTION MARKET MAKING METHOD AND APPARATUS
    • 预测市场制作方法和装置
    • US20090254475A1
    • 2009-10-08
    • US12061062
    • 2008-04-02
    • David PennockYiling ChenSharad Chandra Goel
    • David PennockYiling ChenSharad Chandra Goel
    • G06Q30/00G06Q20/00
    • G06Q30/02G06Q20/10
    • Generally, a method and apparatus for making a prediction-based market including unconventional prediction options to market participants includes determining a prediction framework that includes a plurality of conditional scenarios. The method and apparatus includes calculating realization odds for each of the conditional scenarios using an approximation calculation technique and via an interface, receiving a plurality of predictions associated with selected conditional scenarios, each prediction having an associated value and building the prediction-based market using the predictor. The method and apparatus further includes updating realization odds for each of the conditional scenarios in the prediction framework using the approximation calculation technique and settling the predictions based at least on the updated realization odds.
    • 通常,用于制作包括市场参与者的非常规预测选项的基于预测的市场的方法和装置包括确定包括多个条件情景的预测框架。 所述方法和装置包括使用近似计算技术来计算每个条件情景的实现可能性,并且经由接口,接收与所选条件情景相关联的多个预测,每个预测具有相关联的值并且使用 预测因子 所述方法和装置还包括使用近似计算技术来更新预测框架中的每个条件情景的实现可能性,并且至少基于更新的实现可能性来确定预测。
    • 5. 发明申请
    • REVENUE-SHARING TO INCENTIVIZE USERS TO REVEAL ONLINE PURCHASING INTERESTS
    • 收购共同使用者获取在线购买权益
    • US20090164275A1
    • 2009-06-25
    • US11963595
    • 2007-12-21
    • Yiling ChenArpita Ghosh
    • Yiling ChenArpita Ghosh
    • G06Q30/00G06Q10/00
    • G06Q30/02G06Q30/0217G06Q30/0251
    • The various embodiments of the present invention provide systems and methods to incentivize online users to reveal their online purchasing interests so that advertisements matches their online purchasing interests can be displayed to the users. When users follow the displayed advertisements that match their online purchasing interests to make purchases, users are rewarded by sharing a portion of the advertising (or advertisement) revenue that are related to their online purchases and are collected by the web site(s) that displays the advertisements. The payout for the advertisements by the advertisers to the web site(s) is based on click-per-action (CPA) model, which generally pays more substantially per purchase action. Therefore, the users, who share a portion of the advertisement revenue directly related to their online purchases, can receive more substantial rewards. The reward is mainly monetary (or financial gain) and can come in various forms, such as discount, or credit.
    • 本发明的各种实施例提供了系统和方法来激励在线用户揭示其在线购买兴趣,使得可以向用户显示与其在线购买兴趣相匹配的广告。 当用户按照显示的与他们的在线购买兴趣相匹配的广告来进行购买时,通过分享与其在线购买相关的一部分广告(或广告)收入并由所显示的网站收集的用户获得奖励。 广告。 广告客户对该网站的广告的支付是基于每次点击费用(CPA)模式,其通常每次购买行动都支付更多的费用。 因此,与其在线购买直接相关的一部分广告收入的用户可以获得更多的实质奖励。 奖励主要是货币(或经济利益),可以以折扣或信贷等各种形式出现。
    • 7. 发明申请
    • System and method for permutation betting
    • 置换投注的系统和方法
    • US20080220855A1
    • 2008-09-11
    • US11716217
    • 2007-03-09
    • Yiling ChenEvdokia Velinova NikolovaDavid Myer Pennock
    • Yiling ChenEvdokia Velinova NikolovaDavid Myer Pennock
    • A63F9/24
    • G07F17/32
    • An improved system and method is provided for permutation betting. To do so, a permutation betting engine may be provided for providing services to support betting on an outcome resulting in an ordinal ranking of objects. Orders specifying a property of an ordering of one or more positions of an object in an ordinal ranking of objects may be received. The quantities for orders to accept may be determined, a response may be sent to traders indicating the quantities of orders for payment, and the amount owed for accepted orders may be collected. Winning accepted orders may be identified and payout may be made for winning accepted orders. Advantageously, the present invention may provide a framework for efficiently optimizing an auctioneer's objective using linear programming for a prediction market where the outcomes of interested events are ordered statistics.
    • 提供改进的系统和方法用于置换投注。 为了这样做,可以提供置换投注引擎来提供服务以支持对导致对象的顺序排序的结果的投注。 可以接收在对象的顺序排列中指定对象的一个​​或多个位置的排序的属性的订单。 可以确定接受订单的数量,可以向指示付款订单数量的交易者发送回复,并且可以收取欠接受订单的金额。 可以确定获胜的接受的订单,并且可以支付获胜的接受的订单。 有利地,本发明可以提供一种框架,用于使用用于预测市场的线性规划有效地优化拍卖者的目标,其中感兴趣事件的结果是有序统计。